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Why private investors are targeting mixed-use schemes

COMMENT: Property is cyclical. I’ve lost count of the number of times that investors – both part-time and institutional – have encouraged me to acknowledge that a downturn is coming in London real estate and that discounted value is just out there, on the horizon. Yet for all of this talk of downward pressure, the market keeps on reinventing itself, often supported by urban regeneration and consumer appetite – but most frequently supported, tweaked and manipulated by government legislation and taxation.

Property is a much more agile beast than we give it credit for. And buyers nourish their hunger for property assets every few years. During the last boom in London real estate, which started to fade towards the end of 2014, we saw the meteoric rise of the buy-to-let investor. Those weren’t just investors with spare capital who might hold a few flats as part of their pension diversification. They were institutions too, looking for large-scale assets that enabled them to scale up with their PRS schemes and hold vast swathes of property, supported by banks and a yield model that became the envy of many a pension fund manager. This government has indirectly supported the scaled-up appetite for PRS by winding down Help to Buy, leaving many individuals with the view that they may never be able to purchase their own home.

This is further compounded by the withdrawal of tax relief on mortgage interest, restricting the ability of investors to offset their mortgage expenses from their rental income. Combine this with restrictions on buy-to-let mortgages and the additional stamp duty surcharge on second homes, and it looks as though government has rather smoothly shifted this asset class into the hands of institutional investors.

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