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Interest rate rise less likely amid new Covid restrictions

The chances of an interest rate increase this month have waned as the Plan B restrictions caused sterling to dip to a new 2021 low against the US dollar.

Before last night’s Downing Street announcement the pound fell by 0.5% to $1.3162, its lowest since 2020.

Money markets are now assigning only a 46% probability of a rate increase next week, down from 58% before the news and a near 70% probability two weeks ago.

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